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la58

Bernie Sanders Tops the List of 2020 Democratic Contenders in New Poll

WASHINGTON — Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-VT) holds a commanding lead in a new poll of liberal grassroots activists conducted by Democracy for America, the lefty activist group founded by former Vermont governor and 2004 presidential candidate Howard Dean.
In a field of 23 candidates, Sanders claimed 36 percent of the first-place votes by DFA activists, more than double the percentage of former Vice President Joe Biden, who finished in second with 15 percent. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-TX), who narrowly lost his Senate race against Republican Ted Cruz last month, took third place with 12 percent. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) grabbed fourth with 8 percent and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) rounded out the top five with seven percent.

polarbear4

Surprised Warren didn’t get a lot more than Beto with this crowd.

TheLeftistheCenter

They tried to draft her and she never responded nor did she endorse Bernie the person they ended up backing, so I think she really burned her bridges with them.

orlbucfan

I have always been wary of Warren. She’s an ex-GOPuke. So far, none of them have been anything close to a liberal progressive.

TheLeftistheCenter

Personally I think she looks best in the Senate, almost everyone is so conservative she looks blazingly progressive and feels very much on our side, but im not sure in the house or in the white house she would look as good.

Torabs
Torabs

Reason for optimism.

TheLeftistheCenter

I think the thing that all of the polls dont and really cant see, is Bernie is the kind of candidate that doesn’t really look that good not in the race, its once he is in on the national stage speaking truths as a candidate that makes his magic work.

He starts raking in millions $ and getting 10.000s at rallys and its going to do to the polls this time what he did last time, but starting from a higher baseline.

polarbear4

Sweet comeback. I like it when we can come back with humor and facts and wit.

magsview

I really like Briahna.

polarbear4

Bernie is so racist. Beautiful video.

polarbear4

Then again, sometimes a vet telling it like it is….

orlbucfan

Some of us wrinkles remember Korea and Vietnam.

polarbear4

So what are the rules of conduct for supreme court justices?

wi60

Aparently their are no rules of conduct if its a R appointed Judge at least in the R perspective.

Benny

Kavanaugh was on the 10th circuit. They weren’t going to turn on him unless he did not get confirmed.

polarbear4

But the USSC could, perhaps?

polarbear4

This needs to be addressed soon, or we will continue to “lose” elections.

polarbear4

polarbear4

polarbear4

Hope for LULA?

Benny

Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders are both way more popular than Donald Trump

Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders are the best-known members of the Democratic Party’s very crowded 2020 primary field, and they are both more popular than Donald Trump, according to a new Quinnipiac University national poll.

The two other moderately well-known Democrats — Elizabeth Warren and Michael Bloomberg — both fare less well with underwater favorable ratings. Everyone else, including Beto O’Rourke, Sherrod Brown, Kamala Harris, Cory Booker, and Kirsten Gillibrand, is fairly obscure, with a majority of the public offering no opinion so far.

Biden and Bernie are both popular.

In contrast to Trump, Joe Biden’s numbers look fantastic with a 53/33 favorable/unfavorable split. Democrats love Biden, with 84 percent approving, and he’s above water with essentially all demographic subcategories:

  • African Americans love Biden, 73-12.
  • A lot of Latinos don’t know who he is, but those who do like him 46-18.
  • White people like Biden, too, by a 52-38 margin. Biden even does okay with white men (49-43) and white voters with no college degree (44-41).
  • Biden does best with voters under 35 (60-21) but also does pretty well with old people (54-33)
  • .

Bernie Sanders is distinctly less popular than Biden at 44-42 and, accordingly, is less uniformly popular across demographic groups.

  • African Americans (55-26) and Latinos (52-26) like Bernie, but he’s slightly underwater (43-45) with whites, faring especially poorly with white men (40-51) and working-class whites (38-44).
  • Young people really like Sanders (57-29), but old people do not (40-45).
  • Democrats like Sanders (74-13), but independents do not (39-43).

All things considered, these actual numbers cut against a lot of online narratives. Sanders is more popular with women than with men, and more popular with people of color than with whites — it’s the normal pattern of support for progressive politics in America and no sign of “Bernie Bros” running amok.

This is similar to Jctybone’s post, but I got my info distilled from Vox. Speaking of Vox, I listened to a podcast by them yesterday, and Matt Yglesis sez he’s turning into a Bernie Bro and thinks he has an electability edge over other candidates.

orlbucfan

What exactly is all the hysteria over Biden? He’s a POTUS loser. Who is backing this BS?

magsview

US Senate passes sweeping criminal justice reform bill

The First Step Act, which has been championed by US President Donald Trump, passed by a vote of 87-12.

The bipartisan measure found unlikely support from hardline conservatives and progressive liberals alike.

The US leads the world in number of jailed citizens. Around 2.2m Americans were in jail in 2016, figures show.

The bill, which is expected to be debated in the House of Representatives on Wednesday, would only affect federal prisoners accounting for about 10% of the total US prison population.

Moments after the vote passed, President Trump tweeted: “America is the greatest Country in the world and my job is to fight for ALL citizens, even those who have made mistakes.”

The bill would overhaul the US justice system by giving more discretion to judges during sentencing, and by strengthening prisoner rehabilitation efforts.

Among the sentencing guidelines being revised is one reducing the “three strikes” penalty for drug felons from life in prison to 25 years.

The “three strikes” policy – introduced during the Clinton presidency – mandated strict penalties for those convicted of three serious crimes.

It allows for more criminals to serve their sentences in halfway houses or under home confinement, and requires offenders to be jailed within 500 miles (800km) of their families.

It bans shackling pregnant prisoners and mandates that tampons and sanitary napkins be available to women.

It reduces the mandatory minimum sentences for serious drug crimes, and authorises $375m (£297m) in federal spending for job training and educational programmes for prisoners.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-46613564

polarbear4

“Savvier Democrats have already recognized that Sander’s message is the one that best suits the mood of the electorate.

His ideas have set the agenda for the Democratic party for the past two years, with elected officials trying to burnish their progressive credentials by doing photo ops with Sanders and adopting his policies, from free college to Medicare for All (a plan that even the majority of Republican voters now favor). Many polls suggest he is the most popular politician in the country, and would be the clear favorite in a match-up against Trump. Attempts to portray Sanders as the candidate of white “Bernie Bros” ignore the facts – Sanders has higher favorability ratings among people of color than any other Democratic politician. It’s obvious that he’s the party’s best shot. He has a formidable team of experienced organizers, national popularity and name recognition, and a clear, bold agenda that can win over working-class people of all genders and races.”

“What about the other frontrunners? Some current polls put Joe Biden ahead of Sanders in a potential primary. But while Biden’s “Uncle Joe” persona has endeared him to Democrats across the country, no serious progressive can support him. For one thing, Biden has declared himself indifferent to the concerns of millennial voters, saying he has “no empathy” for young people who complain about student debt, precarious employment, and high rent. I don’t know about other millennials, but I prefer a candidate who can empathize with me.

Biden has also spent a long career in Washington failing to take important stands at critical points. He has misrepresented his pandering to racists during the 1970s, and his handling of Anita Hill’s testimony during 1991’s was infamously shameful. (After decades in which Hill waited for an apology from Biden, he finally gave a partial one this year, while still declining to accept blame for what happened to Hill.) If that wasn’t enough, Biden’s creepy history of routinely violating women’s personal space should make his candidacy a non-starter in the post-#MeToo era.”

Nathan Robinson goes through the other candidates as well.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/dec/19/why-bernie-sanders-is-still-the-most-progressive-choice-for-president?CMP=share_btn_tw

magsview

What would Jesus do? Talking with evangelicals about climate change

While climate change scenarios have all the hallmarks of biblical narrative – violent storms, epic floods, plagues, resource scarcity, the displacement of people – it’s considered liberal political terrain. Scott Coleman, a practicing Baptist and the amiable environmental manager of Little St Simons Island, a mostly undeveloped strip of shoreline off the coast of Georgia, tells me that “environmental stewardship is often associated with liberal politics, thus looked upon negatively”.

I spoke with people of faith in Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia, and it became clear that the primary barrier to climate action is the fact that it’s been yoked with the liberal agenda. Climate activist and author Anna Jane Joyner, whose father is the pastor of a megachurch in North Carolina, writes that she grew up lumping “environmentalists in with hippies and liberals and all the other people who were probably going to hell”.

Mary Beene, a pastor in Savannah, notes that “in our congregation, it was a more controversial topic than race or sexuality”.She observed that some women in the south who believed in climate change worried “it simply would not be polite to challenge what the men … were saying in public.”

Indeed, white male evangelicals are still dominating the conversation and decision-making power structures.

Sounds like The South needs a women’s lib revival stat!

The majority of southern believers I spoke to reported never hearing climate change mentioned in a sermon, but, like Lankford, could ground feelings about protecting the Earth in scripture, and felt that there was a strong moral imperative to protect the planet and its inhabitants.

Several mentioned Dr Katharine Wilkinson’s book Between God and Green: How Evangelicals Are Cultivating a Middle Ground on Climate Change as helping them articulate a scriptural basis for taking climate action in the future.

(Bob) Inglis gave me the rational and the emotional case for his conversion from skeptic to climate change believer. The emotional case is what has stayed with me most since our talk, and is one I hope other skeptics manage to hear from their children, like Inglis did.

His son once told him, lovingly: “Be relevant to my future. Show some courage.”

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/dec/19/talking-with-evangelicals-about-climate-change-south

magsview

I’ve had discussions with people in the past about that “strong moral imperative”, and I’ve often wondered if that might be an effective angle.

I mean, if you care about what God thinks, wouldn’t you think that you’d care about protecting his creation?

magsview

The bad economics of PAYGO swamp any strategic gain from adopting it

Incoming House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has indicated that the House of Representatives will abide by PAYGO in the next Congress, and this decision has sparked much controversy.

Many Washington insiders assert forcefully that committing to PAYGO rules in the House for the next Congress is good politics. The argument is that it assuages fears of politicians who believe they must make public commitments to lower deficits to avoid being punished by voters who care deeply about this issue. If voters do indeed have strong preferences for reducing deficits, then policymakers—even those who want to use fiscal policy to reduce inequality by expanding public spending and investment—must first commit to PAYGO to convince these voters that budget measures can both reduce inequality and be fiscally “responsible.”

The strength of evidence supporting this political claim is debatable. What’s less debatable is that PAYGO really has hindered progressive policymaking in the not-so-recent past.

Even more fundamentally, it is terrible economics to view federal budget deficits as always and everywhere bad. Making good policy in the future will require that voters be educated on this front. Why not start now? After all, our failure as a society to understand the economics of deficits and debt greatly contributed to the destructive impact of the Great Recession of 2008–09. The stakes of allowing history to repeat itself are high enough that we should take the time to quickly recap the history of how costly irrational deficit-phobia has been.

I don’t understand why the left doesn’t argue from this angle more often. Anti-immigration policy, the failure to address climate change, and the ‘paygo’ thing, they’re all bad from a fiscal point of view.

The fact that Republicans’ embrace of deficit-reduction is complete hypocrisy and always takes a backseat to their desire to cut taxes for the rich is infuriating, but it doesn’t change the fact that fueling excess fear about deficits (even when done in the service of good policy goals like fighting regressive tax cuts) has been terrible economics.

https://www.epi.org/blog/the-bad-economics-of-paygo-swamp-any-strategic-gain-from-adopting-it/

orlbucfan

All PAYGO is is more GOPuke crap telling us we have to scrimp and go without so the rich get more tax welfare. Pelosi can choke on it!

TheLeftistheCenter

Just saw this:

I think that means she is getting her committee though, so personally im more than pleased.

orlbucfan

Steny Hoyer is so Turd Way he stinks from one side of MD to the other!

Benny

This picture looks normal, if not comforting after all of the cow chips we’ve had for two years.

Benny

TheLeftistheCenter

Im not sure this is true, their job is to craft legislation, im not sure the lack of subpoena power neuters that really.

I would rather have the committee without subpoena than no committee at all, I dont think its that big a deal.

polarbear4

I don’t like it. They are taking it away, basically. Had enough fauxgressive to last me a lifetime. Give the committee the power back.

wi60

Good news from Mi

Michigan Republicans’ effort to curb Democrats’ power hits snag

A Republican-backed bill in Michigan that would curb the authority of the incoming Democratic secretary of state appears dead, following weeks of intense criticism from Democrats who called the move a partisan power grab. It was one of a series of steps taken by Republican-dominated state legislatures in Michigan, Wisconsin and North Carolina after Democratic wins in last month’s elections, which Republicans have said are intended to improve transparency and accountability. A committee in Michigan’s Republican-led House of Representatives did not list the legislation on its agenda for Wednesday’s meeting, the final scheduled one of the year, and the committee’s Republican leader told the Detroit News that the bill would not be considered. The Republican-controlled Senate passed the bill earlier this month. It would take campaign finance oversight away from the secretary of state’s office and hand it to a newly created bipartisan commission “This proposal would have effectively ended the enforcement of Michigan’s campaign finance law,” Secretary of State-elect Jocelyn Benson said on Twitter. Other bills that would strip power from Democrats remain in play, including one that would allow lawmakers to sidestep the attorney general. Democrats won the governor’s, attorney general’s and secretary of state’s offices, ending eight years of complete Republican control of the state government. In neighboring Wisconsin, where Democrats also captured the governorship to break Republicans’ hold on the capitol, outgoing Republican Governor Scott Walker last week signed a series of bills restricting the powers of incoming Democrats. Democratic Governor-elect Tony Evers has said he will consider filing a legal challenge to the legislation. The moves are reminiscent of North Carolina, where Republican legislators in 2016 limited the powers of incoming Democratic governor Roy Cooper. Many of those laws have been challenged in court. North Carolina Republicans have been trying to push through a voter identification law before January, when newly elected Democratic lawmakers will end their veto-proof supermajority. Cooper vetoed the bill last week, but the state Senate overrode his veto on Tuesday. The state House of Representatives was expected to do the same on Wednesday.
Democrats, too, have been accused of using their power in partisan ways. In New Jersey, the Democratic-controlled legislature proposed amending the state constitution to effectively allow gerrymandering, the process by which legislative districts are drawn to favor one party over another. Lawmakers abandoned the proposal last week after criticism from Republicans, good government groups and Democratic Governor Phil Murphy.

(Reporting by Joseph Ax in New York; Editing by Scott Malone and James Dalgleish)

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