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Benny

Could Latino Votes Tip the Election for Trump?

While the Democrats have largely been passive, the Trump campaign has aggressively cultivated Latino swing voters. Given the president’s fulsome history of race baiting, it borders on the bizarre that the Trump administration has launched a sustained and effective outreach to Latinos. But Garza of the Libre Initiative told me how Trump has “opened up the White House to Latino evangelicals, pastors, women, youth business owners across the board.… They’ve gone out of their way to accommodate for Latino voices.” This extends beyond the confines of the White House; Vice President Mike Pence and senior officials have conducted listening tours with Latino voters beginning in the early days of the administration. The seriousness of the administration’s efforts was signaled at the Republican National Convention, both by what happened (a handful of Latino speakers) and what didn’t (the familiar chants of “build the wall” were conspicuously absent). As Democrats were going dark on Latino outreach, the Trump campaign was ratcheting up its own messaging—an effort that hit home because Biden “was well-known but not sharply defined with Latino voters. And Trump has spent much of the last six months defining him for us,” according to Valencia.

All this has proven to be an effective strategy. Polls of Latino voters are now consistently more favorable for the president than one might expect. In the latest Economist/YouGov poll, 34% of Latino voters favor Trump, with roughly 9% still undecided. At this point, Trump is running well ahead of his own vote share in 2016 (28%), as well as that of Mitt Romney in 2012 (27%) and John McCain in 2008 (31%). It’s still a heavily Democratic vote, but the movement of somewhere between 6% and 15% of Latino voters is potentially significant enough to impact the outcome in states like Florida and North Carolina. The polling has shaken Democrats, who have rapidly expanded their efforts to engage with Latinos over the last month. Rocha told me that Democrats are now outspending Republicans in Latino media three to one, and a Democratic PAC led by Rocha recently launched a new, aggressive Spanish-language media effort. But at this late date, even a vigorous effort to court Latino voters may be too late to move more than a relatively small group of undecided voters.

That may not matter in 2020, even in key states, given the inroads Biden has made with suburban women in general, white women without college degrees, and older voters. But it may matter enormously in future election cycles. The Latino vote will only increase in importance as the Latino population grows (Latinos are projected to make up 29% of the U.S. population by 2050) and as their voting participation ticks up over time. Many assume that this is unequivocal good news for the Democrats. But that may not be the case—at least not entirely. Even Valencia, the progressive pollster, sees opportunity for conservatives, noting that messages of economic opportunity and personal freedoms would play even better for Republicans if they didn’t “have an idiot as the head of the party…[and] if Democrats don’t wake up.” Republicans have generally taken between 30% and 40% of the Latino vote since the 1970s, reaching a high of 44% for George W. Bush in 2004. If they continue to listen and engage Latinos while Democrats take a back seat, that ceiling could be broken.

phatkhat
phatkhat

But they loved Tio Bernie.

magsview

This Barrett woman is a nightmare.

Barrett refuses to commit on Roe v. Wade

And the attached screenshot…for some reason it didn’t make me feel better one bit. In fact, I’m pretty sure a chill went down my spine.

‘you would not be getting Justice Scalia, you would be getting Justice Barrett’

barrett 10-13-20 cnn.jpg
polarbear4

and the Dems are not disrupting the hearings and Joe doesn’t like packing the Court. Many Dems are fine with Barrett. Never thought I’d say that, but the scales keep falling.

wi62

Why would the R lite party disrupt they sercretly approve

orlbucfan

She’s no more nightmare than Thomas (her black male twin), Scalia, Alito, Kavenaugh (a real stupe), Kennedy, Roberts, etc.

orlbucfan

T and R, jcb!! 🙂

polarbear4

polarbear4

humphrey

Never once have I noticed Pelosi raise even a pinky finger to control or replace the blue dogs as they enable her centrist agenda.

polarbear4

she helps them when she can get away with it.

humphrey

An excerpt from the article.

A nonprofit affiliated with the conservative Blue Dog Coalition of House Democrats is working to boost the reputation of Big Pharma through a series of paid ads it’s running on Facebook.

The group, Center Forward, is currently sponsoring seven news articles and op-eds that give positive coverage to the pharmaceutical industry’s efforts to create COVID-19 treatments and vaccines, according to Facebook Ad Archive. While the articles Center Forward is promoting do not necessarily contain false information, they are in line with messages from the Trump administration and many in the business community who are eager to fully reopen the economy more rapidly than is advised by most epidemiologists. “Trust the seeds of hope our scientists have planted working around the clock to develop COVID-19 treatments and vaccines,” one ad reads.

Center Forward, which was known as the Blue Dog Research Forum until 2012, has received major funding from drug industry lobbying group Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers Association (PhRMA). From 2016-18, Center Forward got more than $2.9 million from PhRMA, according to tax documents. In 2018, PhRMA provided nearly a quarter of the organization’s overall budget. While the group says its mission is “to give centrist allies the information they need to craft common sense solutions,” its Facebook ad activity looks a lot more like reputation laundering for a big donor.

phatkhat
phatkhat
humphrey

It certainly is!👏👌

Just a smidgen from the article.

In October of 2016, then United States president Barack Obama told Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Kaine that the Hillary Clinton campaign had to “keep a fascist out of the White House.” The 44th President of the United States had an accurate understanding of Trump – a president in the making Obama had done much to create (please see the third chapter of my new book Hollow Resistance: Trump, Obama and the Politics of Appeasement) – as a malignant, arch-authoritarian, and far-right menace to the republic and the world.

“America[ns] First”

Less than a month later, Obama said this to the American people after Trump defeated Mrs. Clinton:

“Now, everybody is sad when their side loses an election. But the day after, we have to remember that we’re actually all on one team. This is an intramural scrimmage. We’re not Democrats first. We’re not Republicans first. We are Americans first. We’re patriots first. We all want what’s best for this country… we all go forward, with a presumption of good faith in our fellow citizens [that it] is essential to a vibrant and functioning democracy…ultimately we’re all on the same team” (emphasis added).

polarbear4

and i’m pretty sure he knew about the pied piper strategy.

wi62

I’ll say!!!!!

magsview

Sounds like there’ve been some technical difficulties related to /registers/voting:

OzoneTom
OzoneTom

The effect is the same so don’t hold your breath waiting for those in power to fix it.

OzoneTom
OzoneTom

First confirmed US coronavirus reinfection worries health experts
Blow to ‘herd immunity’ theory compounded by Nevada man having a more serious illness after second infection

The patient had positive tests in April and June, separated by two negative tests in May.

The University of Nevada authors presented several possible explanations for the severity of the reinfection. The patient might have encountered a very high dose of the virus on the second occasion, which caused a more acute reaction. Or he might have come in to contact with a more virulent viral strain, though scientists have not yet noted mutations in Sars-Cov-2 associated with more serious disease.

“So far, we’ve only seen a handful of reinfection cases, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t more, especially as many cases of Covid-19 are asymptomatic. Right now, we can only speculate about the cause of reinfection.”

NYCVG

There have been well reported cases of re-infection in many countries. The US press hasn’t yet decided that the American people need this frightening info.

Meanwhile President Super Spreader is holding large crowded rallies every day.

These are looking like Jim Jones rallies, only with delayed effects. Herman Cain Memorial events?

polarbear4

it wouldn’t be so bad if they would just stay in their little groups, but these are the types that go all over the place, so service workers of all kinds are at risk, too.

As are we all. i don’t understand, honestly.

NYCVG

The best explanation that I can come up with is that Trump decided in late January/early February that his path to re-election was with his credible racist base. He will confirm for them how special and deserving they are and that this Virus will pass them by, hurting only Other People.

If it takes 1/2 million dead, or more than that, who knows because we don’t know if when or how this Virus will leave the US, Trump is only too happy to offer up our entire population just as long as he remains in the WH.

Can he be stopped? IDK.

Aint Supposed to Die A Natural Death
Aint Supposed to Die A Natural Death

Agreed. In my opinion tRump doesn’t give a shit about his racist supporters. And his supporters don’t give a shit about him. They see each other as a means to accomplish their individual goals and will use each other to advance.

humphrey

It is not quite new but I just came across this.🤔