11/6 Midterm Election Night & Open Thread
Birdies–
Tonight we find out how much of a check the American people want to have on our Executive Branch. Or put it another way, how many of the 1000 legislative seats will the Dems gain from the last 10 years of losses? Will voters feel comfortable with the economy and overlook Trump? Will Trump’s divisiveness prevail and turn out his base?
Will we see our first women Native American Congressional Reps? First AA governor of FL and first female gov of GA? How well will the OR candidates perform in this cycle?
Of course, we hope there are no machine irregularities, but it’s anticipated that some will occur. And election lawyers will be on hand just in case.
In the Senate, Democrats are defending 26 seats while Republicans are only defending nine.
(those are predictions if they are filled in with red or blue, gold signifies toss-up)
In the gubernatorial races, there are 33 races, in which Dems could possibly pick up 9 of them.
(those are predictions if they are filled in with red or blue, gold signifies toss-up)
First polls close at 6ET in Indiana, VT and KY. Most in the MSM are saying to watch the 6th district in KY, but the bellwethers will be in VA 4 GOP races and FL 4 GOP races when the polls close at 7 ET.
Larry Sabato of Crystal Ball expects Dem pick-ups in the gubernatorial races, including Kansas.
Big races:
TX Sen – Beto vs Cruz
NV Sen – Rosen vs Heller
FL Sen – Sick Rott vs Nelson
AZ Sen – McSally vs Sinema
CA Sen – DeLeon vs Feinstein
MO Sen – Hawley vs McCaskill
TN Sen – Breesan vs Blackburn
VT Sen – Sanders vs a pack of Indies (well, not a big race, but it is Bernie’s re-up)
FL Gov – DeSantis vs Gillum
GA Gov – Kemp vs Abrams
MD Gov – Jealous vs Hogan
WI Gov – Evers vs Walker
IL Gov – Pritzker vs Rauner
AZ Gov – Garcia vs Ducey
ID Gov – Jordan vs Little
MI Gov – Whitmer vs Schulette
IA Gov – Hubbell vs Reynolds
MN AG – Ellison vs Wardlow
Add the races you are keen about in the comments!
Well here we go TPW land, just got back from voting and I was 685 which the poll worker said was about 50% of the ward I’m in as of 4pm. Dane county (Madison) is on fire as their expected to have presidential number turn out. The other big one is Milw county which is also up in turn out. Its gonna be A nervous night in WI. Plan on pulling up the 2014 gov race and comparing the numbers as the night goes on. Fingers are crossed so I don’t the bite the nails 🙂
Patiently waiting for our polls to close in about 50 minutes EST. I will be a very happy camper if:
*Get rid of Sick Rott
*AGillum makes history
*Amendments 4 and 13 pass
*Get rid of at least one state supreme court judge.
wi60, Scott Walker will be history. gawd knows we’ve suffered through enough FRightwingnut nonsense in our states. T and R, Benny!!
You will note OBF that I listed Sick Rott rather than his last name. I hope we don’t have to type those words much longer. 🙂
Benny, good luck to you in IL. 🙂
Your off to a good start Orl
I am SO hoping for you wi60!!
Thx its so Yuge for Evers to win as he can help get rid of the gerrymandered districts that the R’s rigged in 2010
BTW T&R for the election nite OT Benny!!!!!
Reading about tons of voting issues across the country, one example:
And lots of possible cheating is not even detectable.
The voters have the numbers. They need to raise holy h3ll and not stop until their votes are gathered and counted!
MSDNC is reporting that in Chandler, AZ, the building owner of a polling place foreclosed on the tenant overnight, locking in all of the equipment and supplies, and poll workers could not get in. That’s a new one.
Wow, that’s even worse than the school where the machines were locked in a utility closet, with the person holding the key home for the day! (they eventually sorted that one out but, of course, a lot of people had already left)
You can follow results at the following places:
NYT: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/us/elections/calendar-primary-results.html
Politico: https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/
Also check out AP Politics on twitter.
Also for those of you who have cable, The Intercept is teaming up with Democracy Now for election coverage on Free Speech TV. Briahna Gray is on the show!
Thanks for the thread Benny!!!
And thanks for that tip. Looks like Free Speech TV is carried in CT on Hartford Public Access Television, not sure if I get that channel but will look.
One quick question, maybe very a silly one, but why does your graphic say ‘WON’ under all those candidates?
I snipped directly from the JD site. It means they won their primaries. You will see Nov 6 as the new election date.
Ahh, I get it now. Thanks! I hope each and every one of them gets to keep their photo caption.
Nice, Benny!
Thanks Benny!
Initial national exit poll numbers look good for Dems
Chuck Todd’s National exit poll numbers: Trump: 44% approve / 54% disapprove. 72% White 28% / Non-White. Democrats: 50% favorable / 46% unfavorable. Republicans: 43% favorable / 54% unfavorable.
Republicans lead the over 65 vote by only 50-49
Great Alice Cooper! I have not heard that song in a long time.
Hopefully, there will be a lot of first timers!
From MSNBC, first-time voters nationwide prefer Democrats to Republicans by a margin of 63 to 34%
!❤️?????????????
On that note:
NBC exit poll
16% of voters have never voted in a midterm. Voting 61% D, 36% R.
Alice Cooper was always too drunk (his fave drug) to even think about voting.
He did another version making fun of Trump in 2016, but I like the 1972 version better.
I saw Alice Cooper during the Welcome to my Nightmare tour in 1975. It was surprisingly good.
https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news-campaigns/415297-first-woman-governor-elected-in-guam
Well, since it’s OT.
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js
Click on link for great little vid.
WALKER GOT FOXXCONNED
Harris County is Houston. Beto territory
Yuck, yuck, yuck. They need to raise all kinds of havoc in GA.
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js
Amy McGrath is losing in KY-6 in double digits, but maybe it will improve soon. Still very early.
I admittedly wasnt a big fan of McGrath after her launch video featured footage of bombs dropping on people in the middle-east so havent really followed her campaign as much as I probably should have.
Obviously the sponsors of the MSM are more interested in the race than we are.
Same here. She’s just too much ra-ra-military for me.
I agree. They should not be able to deploy that “look at me killing brown people” crap without some accountability.
They are on their own as far as I am concerned. They do not represent anyone I am aligned with.
McGrath is winning Lexington by the amount needed. If she can keep rural margins down, she can win. Very close.
50% of the vote in, she leads 52-47
Just called for Barr over McGrath, 51/48.
RNC chair: ‘Green wave’ of small-dollar donations helped Dems
Midterm elections 2018:
I think its a little late for a Beyonce bump, but overall it probably doesnt hurt.
I don’t like any voters being denied, but in the case he reaps what he sows when it comes to his vote.
KHARMA !!!!!! is a cruel mistress 🙂
So, does he have to go through the (I expect, arduous) process of clearing this mistake up?
W00t woot!