11/6 Midterm Election Night & Open Thread – The Progressive Wing

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Birdies–

Tonight we find out how much of a check the American people want to have on our Executive Branch. Or put it another way, how many of the 1000 legislative seats will the Dems gain from the last 10 years of losses? Will voters feel comfortable with the economy and overlook Trump? Will Trump’s divisiveness prevail and turn out his base?

Will we see our first women Native American Congressional Reps? First AA governor of FL and first female gov of GA? How well will the OR candidates perform in this cycle?

Of course, we hope there are no machine irregularities, but it’s anticipated that some will occur. And election lawyers will be on hand just in case.

In the Senate, Democrats are defending 26 seats while Republicans are only defending nine.

(those are predictions if they are filled in with red or blue, gold signifies toss-up)

In the gubernatorial races, there are 33 races, in which Dems could possibly pick up 9 of them.

(those are predictions if they are filled in with red or blue, gold signifies toss-up)

First polls close at 6ET in Indiana, VT and KY. Most in the MSM are saying to watch the 6th district in KY, but the bellwethers will be in VA 4 GOP races and FL 4 GOP races when the polls close at 7 ET.

Larry Sabato of Crystal Ball expects Dem pick-ups in the gubernatorial races, including Kansas.

Big races:

TX Sen – Beto vs Cruz
NV Sen – Rosen vs Heller
FL Sen – Sick Rott vs Nelson
AZ Sen – McSally vs Sinema
CA Sen – DeLeon vs Feinstein
MO Sen – Hawley vs McCaskill
TN Sen – Breesan vs Blackburn
VT Sen – Sanders vs a pack of Indies (well, not a big race, but it is Bernie’s re-up)

FL Gov – DeSantis vs Gillum
GA Gov – Kemp vs Abrams
MD Gov – Jealous vs Hogan
WI Gov – Evers vs Walker
IL Gov – Pritzker vs Rauner
AZ Gov – Garcia vs Ducey
ID Gov – Jordan vs Little
MI Gov – Whitmer vs Schulette
IA Gov – Hubbell vs Reynolds

MN AG – Ellison vs Wardlow

Add the races you are keen about in the comments!

Related

newest oldest most voted

Well here we go TPW land, just got back from voting and I was 685 which the poll worker said was about 50% of the ward I’m in as of 4pm. Dane county (Madison) is on fire as their expected to have presidential number turn out. The other big one is Milw county which is also up in turn out. Its gonna be A nervous night in WI. Plan on pulling up the 2014 gov race and comparing the numbers as the night goes on. Fingers are crossed so I don’t the bite the nails 🙂

Patiently waiting for our polls to close in about 50 minutes EST. I will be a very happy camper if:
*Get rid of Sick Rott
*AGillum makes history
*Amendments 4 and 13 pass
*Get rid of at least one state supreme court judge.
wi60, Scott Walker will be history. gawd knows we’ve suffered through enough FRightwingnut nonsense in our states. T and R, Benny!!

You will note OBF that I listed Sick Rott rather than his last name. I hope we don’t have to type those words much longer. 🙂

Benny, good luck to you in IL. 🙂

Your off to a good start Orl

I am SO hoping for you wi60!!

Thx its so Yuge for Evers to win as he can help get rid of the gerrymandered districts that the R’s rigged in 2010

BTW T&R for the election nite OT Benny!!!!!

Reading about tons of voting issues across the country, one example:

In St. Louis: Poll workers are not accepting voter ID cards. Instead they are demanding drivers licenses or other forms of photo ID, which a judge ruled in October that Missourians don't need to vote. https://t.co/v8CBabV5FV (via @electionland)

— Nsikan Akpan (@MoNscience) November 6, 2018

And lots of possible cheating is not even detectable.

The voters have the numbers. They need to raise holy h3ll and not stop until their votes are gathered and counted!

MSDNC is reporting that in Chandler, AZ, the building owner of a polling place foreclosed on the tenant overnight, locking in all of the equipment and supplies, and poll workers could not get in. That’s a new one.

Wow, that’s even worse than the school where the machines were locked in a utility closet, with the person holding the key home for the day! (they eventually sorted that one out but, of course, a lot of people had already left)

Back in Queensbridge towards the end of the night — one scanner still down. Another scanner malfunctioned earlier leaving the largest public housing project in the US with just TWO voting machines. Poll workers here have never seen a line so long. pic.twitter.com/YgCuSJ5G5V

— Max RN (@MaxRivlinNadler) November 7, 2018

Two working scanners and hundreds of people waiting to cast their ballot after a long day at work. We don’t just need voter reform, we need BOE reform. I’m told no extra boxes for scanners once they hit 500 votes cast. Massively unprepared for big voter turnout. #SeenIn13 pic.twitter.com/XJUS9PdEw7

— Jessica Ramos (@jessicaramos) November 7, 2018

You can follow results at the following places:

NYT: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/us/elections/calendar-primary-results.html

Politico: https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/

Also check out AP Politics on twitter.

Also for those of you who have cable, The Intercept is teaming up with Democracy Now for election coverage on Free Speech TV. Briahna Gray is on the show!

Thanks for the thread Benny!!!

And thanks for that tip. Looks like Free Speech TV is carried in CT on Hartford Public Access Television, not sure if I get that channel but will look.

One quick question, maybe very a silly one, but why does your graphic say ‘WON’ under all those candidates?

I snipped directly from the JD site. It means they won their primaries. You will see Nov 6 as the new election date.

Ahh, I get it now. Thanks! I hope each and every one of them gets to keep their photo caption.

Nice, Benny!

Thanks Benny!
Initial national exit poll numbers look good for Dems

Chuck Todd’s National exit poll numbers: Trump: 44% approve / 54% disapprove. 72% White 28% / Non-White. Democrats: 50% favorable / 46% unfavorable. Republicans: 43% favorable / 54% unfavorable.

Republicans lead the over 65 vote by only 50-49

Great Alice Cooper! I have not heard that song in a long time.

Hopefully, there will be a lot of first timers!

From MSNBC, first-time voters nationwide prefer Democrats to Republicans by a margin of 63 to 34%

!❤️?????????????

On that note:

NBC exit poll
16% of voters have never voted in a midterm. Voting 61% D, 36% R.

Alice Cooper was always too drunk (his fave drug) to even think about voting.

He did another version making fun of Trump in 2016, but I like the 1972 version better.

I saw Alice Cooper during the Welcome to my Nightmare tour in 1975. It was surprisingly good.

https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news-campaigns/415297-first-woman-governor-elected-in-guam

Lou Leon Guerrero was elected the first female governor of the U.S. territory of Guam on Tuesday.

The Democratic ticket of Leon Guerrero and Josh Tenorio as lieutenant governor reportedly defeated the Republican ticket by nearly 9,000 votes.

Guerrero and Tenorio got 50.7 percent of the vote from 67 precincts, while the Republican ticket got 26 percent and write-in votes accounted for 22 percent, according to KUAM News.

Well, since it’s OT.

LMAO. One last reminder that @ScottWalker is an absolute fraud.

"Foxconn Considers Bringing Chinese Workers to Wisconsin" https://t.co/VFItKP6NV7

— Alex Japko (@ajapko) November 6, 2018

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

The Foxconn deal is a fraud. Scott Walker is a fraud. He always has been. pic.twitter.com/WvMI8RscIJ

— People For Bernie (@People4Bernie) November 4, 2018

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Click on link for great little vid.

WALKER GOT FOXXCONNED

Harris County is Houston. Beto territory

BREAKING: A state district judge has ordered Harris County to extend voting hours at nine polling locations that failed to open on time this morning. #Midterms2018 #ElectionDay #Election2018 #tx2018 #txlege https://t.co/SAXaN3bbgw

— Texas Tribune (@TexasTribune) November 6, 2018

Yuck, yuck, yuck. They need to raise all kinds of havoc in GA.

Corporations sending friendly messages telling you to “go vote,” as if they care about the intrinsic value of voting and not the outcome your vote will help achieve, is transparently phony and should be opposed on the ground that corporate phoniness ineluctably degrades society

— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) November 6, 2018

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Amy McGrath is losing in KY-6 in double digits, but maybe it will improve soon. Still very early.

I admittedly wasnt a big fan of McGrath after her launch video featured footage of bombs dropping on people in the middle-east so havent really followed her campaign as much as I probably should have.

Obviously the sponsors of the MSM are more interested in the race than we are.

Same here. She’s just too much ra-ra-military for me.

OzoneTom

I agree. They should not be able to deploy that “look at me killing brown people” crap without some accountability.

They are on their own as far as I am concerned. They do not represent anyone I am aligned with.

McGrath is winning Lexington by the amount needed. If she can keep rural margins down, she can win. Very close.

50% of the vote in, she leads 52-47

Just called for Barr over McGrath, 51/48.

RNC chair: ‘Green wave’ of small-dollar donations helped Dems

Republican National Committee (RNC) Chairwoman Ronna Romney McDaniel on Tuesday said a “green wave” of small-dollar donations has helped Democratic candidates in the midterm elections surpass Republicans in fundraising.

“There is one wave that is in existence and that is the green wave,” McDaniel told MSNBC’s Chuck Todd while discussing a possible “blue wave” at the ballot box. “The Democrats have far outspent our candidates across the country with their small-dollar fundraising.”

The two parties’ campaign committee have spent around similar amounts, McDaniel said.

“But the fundraising that the Democrats have had at the small-dollar level has been enormous,” McDaniel said. “And that is part of what is helping them be competitive tonight in a lot of these seats.”

.

Midterm elections 2018:

It’s not as though Beto O’Rourke needs a helping hand from celebrities in his bid to turf Ted Cruz out of his US senate seat from Texas. After all, Beto O’Rourke is quite the superstar in his own right.

But then, who would object to having Beyonce on their side? The singer has popped up just a few hours before polls are due to close in Texas, posting a photo on her Instagram feed of herself wearing a Beto for Senate cap.

“Every vote counts, Every race matters, Everywhere,” she wrote.

..

Polls have been giving Cruz a small but significant lead over O’Rourke in recent days, though the gap has been tightening. O’Rourke himself likes to point out that he hates polls and has consciously avoided employing any pollsters in his campaign.

So pollsters be damned. With less than three hours to go before polls in Texas close, there is all still to play for. And maybe Beyonce is the one to swing it.

I think its a little late for a Beyonce bump, but overall it probably doesnt hurt.

GOP gubernatorial candidate Brian Kemp also had a voting issue today. When he tried to vote, his voter card said "invalid." Our @DaveHWSB was with Kemp today as he voted and is covering the campaign all night. #ElectionOn2 https://t.co/d4yktfco6v pic.twitter.com/YR9FeJUijj

— WSB-TV (@wsbtv) November 6, 2018

I don’t like any voters being denied, but in the case he reaps what he sows when it comes to his vote.

KHARMA !!!!!! is a cruel mistress 🙂

OzoneTom

So, does he have to go through the (I expect, arduous) process of clearing this mistake up?

Iowa early vote numbers are in. Compared to 2014 …

Democrats ⬆️ 19.1%
Republicans ⬆️ 2.8%
No party ⬆️ 10.5%https://t.co/qhZHS8uM3x

— Erin Murphy (@ErinDMurphy) November 6, 2018

W00t woot!

LATEST: @NBCNews exit polls show that health care was the most important issue for independent voters by a 2-1 margin. #MTPDaily pic.twitter.com/pDamtjZyHS

— Meet the Press (@MeetThePress) November 6, 2018

YEAY!!!!!!! I’m getting ready to crash. FL Governor and Senate are neck and neck, but the high turnout gives me faith. wi60 and LD–you guys will be celebrating tonight. 🙂

Texas election official resigns after video shows her screaming at black voter

The voter who recorded the footage told a local ABC station that she began to record the incident after Guzman started getting louder.
“I was like, ‘This is getting out of hand.’ So I began to record,” the voter who captured the video told the news station. “She did tell her she couldn’t vote there, but she didn’t say where in Travis. The lady did have an accent. She could’ve been new to the country. I don’t know, but she needed some help.”

Guzman can also be heard threatening to call the police on the voter, whose identity has not yet been revealed, telling the voter she will have police escort her from the building.
The voter reportedly left the building before law enforcement arrived at the scene.
Williamson County Elections Administrator Chris Davis told the news station Guzman lost “her composure in the middle of this, and that’s not something that we ever train our poll workers, supervisors, election judges and clerks to do.”

Still havent seen numbers but just ran across this on CNN:

Sens. Tim Kaine, D-Va., and Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., have won re-election, NBC News projects.

Kaine defeated Republican Corey Stewart, NBC News projects. Sanders defeated Republican Lawrence Zupan.

Both Kaine and Sanders had been expected to easily win their races.

oops, I mean NBC:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/live-blog-midterm-election-2018-updates-news-analysis-n930691?cid=election2018_marquee

One out of every four Latino voters today said that they had never voted in a midterm election before, according to early results from the NBC News Exit Poll. The share of first-time midterm voters was nearly one in five among African American voters and one in 10 among white voters.

In addition, a majority of voters under 30 — a group whose participation in elections generally lags behind that of other age groups — said that they voted in a midterm election for the first time this year.

Corey Stewart was a total jerk. He was the one who accused Abdul of being a Muslim terrorist!

Always need good early news

TheLeftistheCenter

This could be the election that takes us from people not wanting to vote to people demanding they have an easier time voting.

Stay in line.
We can win this. pic.twitter.com/wEHaDQhrVK

— Ben Jealous (@BenJealous) November 6, 2018

So far, both Gillum and Nelson are doing better than their benchmarks in reporting counties. Florida looking good

The margin in Broward for Gillum over DeSantis is ridiculous: 175,000
That's the margin.

— Marc Caputo (@MarcACaputo) November 7, 2018

#BringItHome!

DeSantis seems to have taken a slight lead in the latest update but still a good deal of votes to be recorded.

85% reporting, Florida is within 15K votes. pic.twitter.com/iqNCGxEiqJ

— Evan McMurry (@evanmcmurry) November 7, 2018

Half of Broward County still waiting to come in, as well as 25 percent of Dade, both of which Gillum is doing very well in, currently he’s down about 30k votes I believe I read.

Virulent homophobe Kim Davis made national news when she tried to stand in the way of marriage equality as a Kentucky county clerk. She's on her way to losing tonight to a Democrat https://t.co/LebwGhP8CS

— Stephen Wolf (@PoliticsWolf) November 7, 2018

Thank God!

(irony intended)

Amen!

BYE FÜHRERLICIA https://t.co/gAcaNJyPMa

— Sleeping Giants (@slpng_giants) November 7, 2018

VA house 10 –Wexton-D wins

She’s doing better than the polling indicated.

This race is considered one of the bellwethers. Comstock was a dear friend of Justice Kavanaugh.

OzoneTom

That seems to be a hopeful sign for the season.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/georgia-voters-file-lawsuit-seeking-block-kemp-overseeing-election-results-n932566

A group of Georgia voters filed an eleventh-hour lawsuit Tuesday seeking to block Secretary of State Brian Kemp — who also happens to be the Republican candidate for governor — from taking part in any activities related to the election results.

The five Georgia residents want a judge to bar Kemp from having any involvement in the counting of votes, the certification of results or any runoff or recount procedures.

“Defendant’s clear bias in favor of his own candidacy demonstrates the truth of the axiom that no man may be the judge in his own case,” says the lawsuit filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Georgia. “This Court should not permit Defendant Kemp to resolve the outcome of the elections in which he is a candidate under those circumstances.”

NC just closed its polls.

In the 5th district, Virginia Foxx, almost the equivalent of Steve King, is behind that race:

Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
63% DD Adams Dem 9,893
37% Virginia Foxx* GOP 5,813

It’s very early though.

Speaking of King:

Well, now no media is being allowed in to his event. Crews drove over 3 hours to provide our viewers equal coverage in Iowa's 4th Congressional district only to be held outside the door. https://t.co/ASDUP7Rcng

— Matt Baker (@mattbaker7) November 6, 2018

In contrast, our watch party is welcoming. The more the merrier. I believe we bought a keg, too. https://t.co/5lSiZNOySA

— J.D. Scholten (@Scholten4Iowa) November 7, 2018

Sherrod Brown wins easily.

Yeah, he skated.

Corday is ahead by a good margin, but still early.

Donnelley is losing in IN, but Marion County hasn’t come in either.

Yes, turnout increased over '14 in every age group, but the older voters couldn't keep up with younger voters. The vote share of voters over the age of 65 dropped by almost 5 points. This electorate is poised to be the most diverse and young midterm electorate, potentially ever.

— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) November 6, 2018

This is remarkable. In the early vote, voters age 50+ saw their electorate share drop from '14 by 7.45 pts, replaced by a surge in younger voters, driven primarily by voters under the age of 30. pic.twitter.com/KV83br04bI

— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) November 6, 2018

TheLeftistheCenter

Meaning all that polling for the last 2 weeks is worthless since its all based on likely vote models.

Second Dem House flip. Shalala in FL27

About 70 young Native Americans marched to a polling place on a reservation near Belcourt chanting "North Dakota — you can't do that," following an ongoing dispute over a law that requires residential addresses on ID in order to vote. https://t.co/wzviquCV1b #ElectionDay pic.twitter.com/JIuxBlxa71

— ABC News (@ABC) November 6, 2018

Congratulations to @AyannaPressley for her victory tonight in #MA07. pic.twitter.com/kTQWDqyT9D

— Justice Democrats (@justicedems) November 7, 2018

The first African American woman to serve on Boston’s city council, Ayanna Pressley has made history again, becoming the first black member of the House of Representatives from Massachusetts. After defeating 10-term incumbent Michael Capuano in the primary, she did not face a general election challenger.

Republican Edward Brooke, a US senator from 1967-1979, was the first African American politician elected to represent Massachusetts in Congress.

“With her victory tonight, Ayanna Pressley has not only made history as the first Black woman ever elected to represent Massachusetts in the U.S. House of Representatives, she’s ensured that Democrats have the voice of a young, Black progressive woman helping lead the fight for inclusive populist reforms like Medicare for All, criminal justice reform, and a $15 minimum wage,” the group Democracy for America said.

In Florida 65% of voters are supporting a ballot initiative to automatically restore the right to vote for people with prior felony convictions, except those convicted of murder or a felony sexual offense. (50% of the vote in)

— Secular Talk (@KyleKulinski) November 7, 2018

Thank you, Massachusetts! Six years ago, I promised to go to Washington to fight for you every single day. Tonight, let's send the powerful interests a message: We're just getting started.

— Elizabeth Warren (@elizabethforma) November 7, 2018

Tom Wolf projected to win in PA.

At 1%,

Election results
Map Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
53% Beto O’Rourke Dem 786,088
46.4% Ted Cruz* GOP 687,266
0.6% Other 9,133

C’mon, Beto. Bring it home!!!!!!

Oh yeah!

NBC saying Beto is killing it in Dallas county, which makes Republicans nervous. Based on yard signage… not a surprise at all. Numbers I just saw was 52 Beto, 48% cruz, but still super early.

Seems that they (NBC) are calling the race for Hogan over Jealous though Im not sure of the numbers. Pritzker wins in Illinois.

Oh well, no real surprise. 🙁

OzoneTom

Zackly, the “Democratic Party” was a big supporter…

Surprises me. I thought he’d pull it out.

It’s too early.

THe graphic they showed was confusing as Jealous actually had a vote lead, I dont quite buy it considering theres still people standing in lines.

…

Hogan Wins Historic Second Term

Hogan’s win was fueled by bipartisan accomplishments and an improving economy, but also by voters from typically Democratic voting blocs who didn’t want to rock the boat. Though he earned the endorsement of former President Barack Obama and other out-of-state, many prominent Maryland Democrats were also reluctant to endorse Jealous, a Bernie Sanders acolyte and venture capitalist who wasn’t a member of the party establishment. Franchot, the state’s most prominent Democrat, said he would stay neutral in the race.

“I really wanted to vote for Ben Jealous, because I am a Democrat, but he just didn’t show me that he had enough experience,” said Karen Johnson, a 48-year-old federal government employee who is black, adding that she decided to “stay with what is working,” after she voted early in Prince George’s County, one of the nation’s most affluent black-majority counties.

In Baltimore, which is about 64 percent black and heavily Democratic, Ursula Guthrie said she didn’t feel like she knew Jealous, despite his leadership of the Baltimore-based NAACP from 2008 to 2013.

“I don’t really know who Jealous is as a person in the same way that I know who Hogan is,” said Guthrie, an early voter who was supporting a Republican for the first time.

wow… just wow.

Unbelievable. Fishy.

Election results MD-Gov 1%

Map Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
58.6% Ben Jealous Dem 66,941
40.6% Larry Hogan* GOP 46,356
0.7% Other 855

Map Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
50.1% Rick Scott GOP 3,625,752
49.9% Bill Nelson* Dem 3,609,065

No way.

In GA Gov Race:

Election results
Map Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
64.6% Brian Kemp GOP 369,798
34.8% Stacey Abrams Dem 199,446
0.6% Other 3,432

I think this is weird.

Ridiculous. Rigged right in front of our eyes.

Congratulations to @SummerForPA on your victory tonight! pic.twitter.com/oMKLw7Iie2

— Our Revolution (@OurRevolution) November 7, 2018

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