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So now we have our third NH tracking poll. I have included the two from last night. There are signs that Amy is stealing votes from Pete. Bernie’s support is definitely the most committed.


Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’ lead in New Hampshire continues to hold, according to the second release from a tracking poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire for CNN.

The poll, conducted from Wednesday through Saturday, finds Sanders with 28% support to former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg’s 21%, both holding even with their performance in the previous day’s release. Former Vice President Joe Biden lands at 12%, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 9%, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar at 6%, Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard at 5% and entrepreneur Andrew Yang at 4%.

Saturday’s interviews, which make up roughly a quarter of the poll’s sample, show Klobuchar having her best day in the tracker so far, while Warren had her worst.

Still, the major contours of the race have held steady: Sanders continues to outpace Buttigieg by a wide margin among those who have definitely made up their minds about whom to support, while the two top contenders run about even among those who have yet to commit to a candidate.

Sanders leads by a wide margin among younger likely primary voters, while Buttigieg has opened up a lead among those age 45 and older. Buttigieg edges out his rivals among voters who consider themselves moderate or conservative, while Sanders has a better than 25-point lead among liberals. And Sanders tops the field among those who do not have a college degree, while college graduates split evenly between the two.

Likely Democratic primary voters in the Granite State largely expect to see Sanders win the contest on Tuesday, with 57% saying he is most likely to win, well ahead of any other candidate.

Bernie 30 -1
Buttigieg 20 -4
Klobuchar 13 +4
Warren 12 +1
Biden 11 same

Bernie 24 same
Buttigieg 22 -3
Warren 13 -1
Biden 10 -1
Klobuchar 9 +3

From Emerson. Bernie’s voters are the most committed by far

Respondents were asked if they would definitely vote for their preferred candidate or if there was a chance they could change their mind. Overall, 66% said they will definitely vote for their candidate and 34% said they could still change their mind. Sanders’ supporters are the most committed as 88% said they will definitely vote for him. Of the other top candidates, 64% of Warren supporters, 62% of Biden supporters, 56% of Klobuchar and 54% of Buttigieg supporters are committed to their respective candidates.




88%! Definitely feelin’ the bern and caroling/canvassing to convince the Indies or newbies!


“barely disguised loathing” 👍

I disagree with Klobuchar about many things, but I think she comes off way more genuine and honest than Buttigieg. I understand where she’s coming from. I’m not there with her, but I don’t think she’s trying to pull the wool over my eyes.


Hillary Clinton, who defeated Sanders for the 2016 Democratic nomination but believes he hurt her chances against Donald Trump by delaying his concession, is still bitter about the race and said of Sanders, “Nobody likes him, nobody wants to work with him.” As the former secretary of state has been making the rounds promoting a forthcoming documentary, she has attacked Sanders as incapable of uniting the party.

But when Clinton’s comments about Sanders’ unpopularity were raised on the debate stage Friday night, Biden literally hugged Sanders to show his support, while Sen. Amy Klobuchar talked about how much she liked Bernie and brought up times she had worked with him on legislation. (Klobuchar’s affection for her Senate colleague, despite their wide ideological differences, is often visible, in stark contrast to her barely disguised loathing of Buttigieg.) Tom Steyer, a member of the billionaire class that Sanders likes to demonize, seems so interested in earning Sanders’ friendship that it’s become a running joke.


I agree. Amy’s far too right for me, but I trust her way more than I’ll ever trust Pete.

Attached is a stock photo of Tom with Bernie that I like.

BS Steyer fist.jpg
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