8/28 Arizona, Florida Primaries Night & Open Thread; Gillum Wins in Gov Race in FL!!!
Tonight is another big primary night, this time in AZ and Florida.
The Justice Dems Running in House Races:
Florida and Arizona, have you voted?
You still can. Polls close at 7 pm local time.
We can help build a Congress that works for the people.
You can help get out the vote at https://t.co/bx994hOEAL pic.twitter.com/mwNwUiIJfw
— Justice Democrats (@justicedems) August 28, 2018
Also governors races will be watched carefully since Dems are eyeing congressional district line redraws in 2020. In Florida, Andrew Gillum is up against Gwen Graham. Both are from Florida’s panhandle.
OK Florida. This is it.
When we organize, we win. @AndrewGillum has poured his heart out all over the state. His plans and policies and principles are superior.
He has the experience to govern well, but you have to vote.
Don't let this pass you by! Let's WIN. pic.twitter.com/O1PfVi6ZaQ
— Shaun King (@shaunking) August 28, 2018
The polls close at 7ET in Florida. According to the Sun Sentinel, early voting was heavier than the previous mid-term.
Statewide, about 1.93 million votes had been cast and received before polls opened on Tuesday.
The statewide turnout is substantially ahead of the pre-voting in 2014, when 1.2 million voters statewide voted early or by mail.
The numbers show an uptick for Democrats, from being 41 percent of the early and mailed-in vote in 2014 to 44 percent this year.Meanwhile, Republicans have dropped from 47 percent of the early vote in 2014 to 46 percent this year.
In Arizona, David Garcia is in a heated race with Steve Farley. Garcia has made the race more about immigration, in which one will see if that will be effective against the moderate Farley.
Most of the eyes will be on the senate race in AZ on the GOP side, as there is an open seat with Jeff Flake retiring this year. Here’s how the NYT sees it:
The best-known figure in the three-way contest is Joe Arpaio, the former Maricopa County sheriff whom Mr. Trump pardoned last year, though he has been trailing in the polls. Mr. Arpaio’s presence in the race, however, has made it difficult on another hard-liner, Kelli Ward, to consolidate support from the most conservative Arizona voters.
With Mr. Arpaio siphoning votes, Ms. Ward, a former state senator who won nearly 40 percent against Mr. McCain in 2016, has gone to great lengths to garner attention on the right, inviting controversial conservatives to campaign with her and even suggesting Mr. McCain’s family tried to undercut her by putting out word last week that he was ending treatment for his cancer.
Representative Martha McSally, the establishment favorite in the race, has benefited from the divide on the right and could win without capturing a majority of the vote. But to prove her bona fides to Arizona’s conservative primary voters, and to keep the president from wading into the race against her, Ms. McSally has embraced Mr. Trump in ways that could create difficulties for her in the general election. Democrats are poised to nominate Representative Kyrsten Sinema, who has run a cautious campaign and has carefully avoided criticizing Mr. Trump, in an attempt at winning over the state’s center-right electorate.
You can follow the results at the NYT here.
Tonight, we proved what's possible when people come together & show up to build FL into a better state for all. I'm truly honored to represent people across the state as the Democratic nominee — and I promise to stand up for everyday Floridians and the issues that matter most. pic.twitter.com/zC19uMBIer
— Andrew Gillum (@AndrewGillum) August 29, 2018
Overlooked:
Per NBC News data, Gillum only spent $589K on TV, while Collective PAC spent $1.2M.
For context, Levine camp spent $23M (!), while Graham camp spent $8M.
— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) August 29, 2018
and Gillum wins the primary. 🙂 so there, Obama.
First Results for Governor’s Race in FL, from Politico:
Gillum has pulled into 2nd place in the FL Gov race. But he has a long road to catch Gwen Graham.
Source: Politico
Panhandle polls close in a few minutes. Chardo Richardson got creamed by Murphy. I figured as much. Murphy is ra-ra military Democrat but she’s not corrupt. I voted for Chardo. 🙂 Gillum is now in 2nd place behind Graham. She is a ditz but name recognition is crucial. I hope Andrew runs again if he loses tonight.
I am pulling for Gillum as Graham is not what I would call progressive. In Arizona a Sinema victory would only add to the dinos in the Democratic Senatorial caucus.
As much as TOP goes for identity politics, they are rooting for Graham since this year is more about women voters to them. She’s a legacy, whereas Gillum has gone completely grassroots.
But then there is crazy Rick who is winning with 89% of the vote on the R side.
TOP likes Graham for two reasons. First Bernie endorsed Gillum and secondly Graham is establishment which meets their neoliberal criteria.
haha they lost.
In FL’s 9th, Alan Grayson is challenging incumbent Darren Soto, but at present, Soto is winning 2 to 1:
I can’t say that I like those results.
The FRightwing GOPukes went after Grayson full-bore when he ran for re-election back during PBO. He hasn’t recovered. Soto is a good guy and considered a progressive for these parts.
Good info orl.
Unfortunately by looking at the earlymap results it looks like Levine will pull in enough votes to give the victory to Graham.
Yeah, it’s too bad. He’s losing his home county too.
JD candidate Pam Keith is also not doing very well in FL-18:
But, Gillum very close to Graham in Hillsborough County (Tampa) and doing well in Orange (Orlando).
He’s also not too far behind in Dade County.
What’s going on in Broward (Ft. Lauderdale)? No precincts reporting.
One good thing is that Tim Canova will be challenging DWS as an independent in November.
Canova is still so motivated. What a battle he picked! Seems like so many shenanigans in that race.
It seems to be tightening up with Gillum vs. Graham. What a nail-biter!
I was able to grab that about 8:12pm before NYT shut me down.
I have it on the local yokel networks down here. 🙂 Shoutout to wi60: what’s up with all the flooding that hit WI today????
Evacuations! 🙁
Oh gawd! 🙁
Been busy had 4-5 inches of rain my area which some of went into my basement which is a first for my home but managed to contain it so basically cleaning up a 2am -5am our time. Today with the hi dew points it was late tornado outbreak in the fox valley area with 2-4 inches more of rain. No deaths reported but flood damage is still being assessed through out my area. This amount of rain fall is not normal and the storms were running a train track effect one right after another. About 20000 w/o power around the area. This is tropical rain type amounts up here.
You and your family stay safe. Climate change…grrrrrrrr…good thing this old head has low BP.
Thx orl, just tired from the mid morning clean up but consider myself fortunate as a lot of people are dealing with worse problems. a co worker had a tree fall on their house. But all friends and family are ok
Wow! I hadn’t checked in a while. Gillum has taken the lead!
Yep, by 1% over Graham. Entire state is reporting in now. All polls are closed. Come on Andrew!!!!!!
Gillum’s run a 100% progressive campaign. It will be a BFD if he wins, matching and ultimately perhaps even succeeding Ocasio-Cortez’s victory on scale of importance.
Gillum has really pulled up! Broward may determine the race.
Democratic Primary
Candidate
Vote
Pct.
Andrew Gillum
432,822
32.8%
Gwen Graham
424,405
32.2
Philip Levine
269,890
20.4
That’s over a million votes!! We citizens are the winners here as that is a YUGE turnout!
I read in the Sun Sentinel that over 1.9M had voted early.
As of 8:37
Candidate
Vote
Pct.
Andrew Gillum
448,189
33.1%
Gwen Graham
433,107
31.9
Philip Levine
276,327
20.4
Others
197,964
14.6
1,355,587 votes, 79% reporting (4,689 of 5,968 precincts)
Gillum and Levine are neck & neck in Broward:
Looky here…more numbers from Broward (I’m using the Miami Herald which is more up to date than NYT)
AS of right now 8:34 EDT Gillum is ahead of Graham but only by a few thousand. Over 1.2M votes tallied for this one race. The American voters showed up cos we got a choice. YEEAY!!
Thanks @Benny!
T and R, Benny!!
Yes, thank you Benny!
Been so swept up that I forgot to thank you.
If anyone learns anything about the Dem races mentioned above, would love to know! Im off to bed, ‘see’ you in the morning!
Need that ✔ for him !!!!!!!!
Call ’em Sis!
84% precincts reporting in Gillum is 25,000+ votes ahead of Graham. I’m monitoring it on the Tampa Bay paper.
Numbers in Dade in Dem Gov Primary (Miami Herald):
I can not get over the turn out numbers. This is such a YUGE shot in the arm for us who believe in our democracy and want to TAKE IT BACK!!! We’re looking at 1.5M voter in just the Democratic FL State Governor’s Primary. This is terrific!!
Things are looking better. AS of 9:05
Democratic Primary
Candidate
Vote
Pct.
Andrew Gillum
472,975
33.6%
Gwen Graham
446,748
31.7
Philip Levine
286,563
20.3
Others
202,963
14.4
1,409,249 votes, 86% reporting (5,109 of 5,968 precincts)
humphrey, this is just one statewide race. Look at the totals!!!! That’s why I am so psyched!!!
I am happy for you and us. It will help down ballot races if there will be a true progressive on the top of the ballot.
Hey Orl if he wins will the others lend their support as he will need that to beat your version of walker in Fl?
If he follows the Dean/Sanders blueprint–visit every county/only accept non-corpse/ordinary people donations, he will win. Gillum already has mayoral experience. Tallahassee is the state capitol so he’s seasoned for a young dude.
Im laughing at twitter comments that dont want to give Bernie any credit, infact saying that his endorsement hurt Gillum and cost him votes (black ones of course… because they hate bernie….). In other words,more people would have voted for Gillum’s platform of Medicare For All, getting rid of ICE, etc and that they felt so strongly about it they… voted for a centrist establishment Dem because Bernie. Lol. Ultimately though I do think Gillum’s showing up anywhere and everywhere is really what put him over the top, and ultimately will Beto as well.
I had a more formal coming out on twitter on Saturday and Sun. The Hilbros are really bad. My account was locked for awhile because someone wrote in that I was a Bot. I got that cleared up, but they are worse than the Bernie supporters by far.
Remember that article I posted recently about the Dems funding people to flag ‘suspicious articles and accounts’ and one of those suspicious activities to look out for was ‘showing interest in elections’. Eh… probably a coincidence…
I guess David Brock’s disciples are earning their wages.
::insert Markos joke here::
they’re talking about themselves. vindictive little frackers.
Highest turnout in years reporting from South Florida!!!!! Yes, yes, yes!!!!
It has slowed down as likely the first results were the early vote ballots. I think those have been counted. Let’s hope there aren’t any issues with the machines.
This is from the FL Elections Board:
Click on the graphic, Dem turnout is really strong.
9:16EDT: AP has just called it for Andrew Gillum. I picked him even before Our Revolution did. I won a few and lost a few today, but this one….sure feels good!! See you guys/gals tomorrow. 🙂 🙂
same here i’m one tired puppy see you all tomorrow evening
I think were all about 6 months to a year ahead of the prog o organizations when it comes to candidate support/knowledge of their existence.
I remember you supporting him way early orl!
Congrats OBF!!!???
ACCORDING TO THE NYT GILLUM HAS WON!!!!!!!
Yee-Haw!!!
Happy Dance!
Dance music…
Gillum’s victory speech: I want to be their governor too (meaning voters for his opponents).
You can watch via People for Bernie on twitter:
Yay! I had to step away, this is good news.
oops. double posted. i was posting like crazy on the OT. haha. always forget to refresh! what great news!!!!!!
Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum shocks Democratic rivals, wins nomination for governor
Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum surged late to overcome the big-spending campaigns of his main rivals Jeff Greene, Philip Levine and Gwen Graham to win the Democratic nomination for Florida governor against Republican Congressman Ron DeSantis.
Read more here: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/state-politics/article217456845.html#storylink=cpy
Read more here: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/#storylink=cpy
What a classic battle-Gillum started off behind, in both the overall race and in tonight’s incoming tallies, gained momentum, and overtook his opponents.
I couldn’t help myself. I took a quick trip to the dark side (TOP) to check their election results. To sum it up overall they are not a bunch of happy campers. It makes me feel good!
He made the FP at TOP.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2018/8/28/1791756/-In-major-upset-Andrew-Gillum-wins-Democratic-nod-and-aims-to-become-Florida-s-first-black-governor
Of course, they are worried about his fundraising. S**t, Sharice Davids only had half of Brent Welder’s until Women Votes PAC brought in $600K to help her out.
It’s a good thing to hear Jeff Stein on this. He’s young, smart and has his ear to the ground.
T&R Benny. 🙂
The $$ difference is quite dramatic.
Money is just stored labor and activism is actual labor and though the two can be equated, very rarely does stored labor have the enthusiasm actual labor does and thats our real advantage.
I like that perspective!
President Hillary Clinton and her one billion dollar campaign is a good example of that.
Trying to get his acceptance speech here.
Good for Graham
That looks quite professionally done. Perhaps she was expecting the result. That said it was a good gesture.
She prolly had different texts ready. 🙂
A good writeup from Politico.
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/28/arizona-florida-primaries-trump-elections-governor-senate-799192
Also from The Hill
http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/404097-andrew-gillum-wins-florida-democratic-gubernatorial-race-in-stunning-upset
It’s hard not to like that headline 😉
I’m glad she conceded and got behind him:
Doesn’t look to be a good night for Deedra Abboud tonight in AZ-SEN primary. Wish she could have had one like Gillum.
I think that those are only the early voting results but I assume the final results will be similar.
I am glad Joe Arpaio is projected to lose. WAD.
It takes candidates like Ward and Arpaio to make McSally look good but it doesn’t make her likeable. I don’t have much use for the best of the worst Sinema either.
David Garcia Pulls Off Win in AZ Gov Race
http://time.com/5381252/ducey-garcia-primary-arizona-governor/
If Garcia can talk healthcare and other pocketbook issues, I think he has a shot.