I had the vagrant late Friday night and æthanol-lubricated thought that if we acquired an adequate number of observations from the appropriate cross-section of those whom most concern us, particularly other Berniecrats who (shudder!) might defect to the Dark Side or at least offer tepid support to she who-must-not-be-nominated, as well as those who are enthusiastically for Dr. Stein or other alternative progressives, we might at least have some idea of what the windvane, anemometer, and barometer are telling us.
I have no experience in survey statistics and the assumptions that underlie them, but I do have a reasonably sophisticated maths and scientific programming background and a powerful software package (MATLAB) that can efficiently crunch the numbers. If anyone is interested in forming an observational (data-gathering) and qualitatively analytical team to mesh with my number-crunching we might be able to at least satisfy our own curiosity about the direction things are going. All those with survey statistics experience are more than welcome, especially if they would recommend appropriate text or reference books for me to buy and add to my library.
‘It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future. …’ — Yogi Berra
With Yogi’s pithy observations in mind, anyone interested? I can’t do all this myself, so my feelings won’t be hurt either way.