Good evening birdies!
All eyes on Michigan and WA for Bernie as Biden is expected to win MO, MS, and ND.
Both campaigns canceled rallies this evening. Sanders campaign hasn’t canceled others as of yet, but future rallies will be subject to cancellation on a case by case basis.
Some early exit polling on the state of the race from MI (source WaPo):
Large majorities of voters in Tuesday’s Democratic primaries said they would vote for whichever candidate gets the party’s nomination against President Trump in November. Across Michigan, Missouri and Washington about 9 in 10 of Biden’s supporters said they would support the party nominee. Across those three states, at least 8 in 10 of Sanders voters said they would vote for the Democratic nominee in the general election.
Michigan voters who backed Sanders on Tuesday are far more likely to say they are enthusiastic about his candidacy than Biden backers, according to preliminary exit poll results. The early results show over 8 in 10 voters who supported Sanders said they would be enthusiastic if he wins the nomination. By contrast, fewer than 6 in 10 voters who supported Biden said they would be enthusiastic about the former vice president becoming the party’s nominee. The enthusiasm gap is smaller in Missouri, where about 8 in 10 Sanders voters were enthusiastic about his candidacy compared to roughly 7 in 10 Biden backers who were enthusiastic about their choice.
After Biden’s strong showing among black voters in several key Super Tuesday states last week, election watchers have been speculating as to whether that trend will carry forward into Michigan. When it comes to turnout, at least, early exit polls by Edison Research suggest that black voters were on track to make up about the same share of the Michigan Democratic primary electorate as they were in the last presidential cycle, making up about 1 in 5 voters. In 2016, 70 percent of Democratic primary voters in Michigan were white and 21 percent were black. Then, a 56 percent majority of white voters supported Sanders while a 68 percent majority of black voters supported Clinton.
and exit polls in other places as well:
According to early exit polls, about half of Democratic primary voters in Missouri and Michigan said that the economic system needed a “complete overhaul.” In Washington state, slightly fewer said so and about half said that just minor changes were needed. On Super Tuesday in the three states where the exit poll asked about what needed to happen to the economy, votes varied. In California, 50 percent said the economy needed a complete overhaul; In Colorado, 48 percent; and in Virginia, 42 percent said the same. Earlier, in South Carolina, 53 percent of Democratic primary voters said the economy needed a complete overhaul.
Health care was the top issue for Democrats voting Tuesday, according to preliminary exit polls. It has consistently been the top issue among the four issues offered in exit polls throughout this year’s Democratic primaries. Over 4 in 10 primary voters cited health care as the most important issue in Michigan, Mississippi and Missouri. It was cited at the top issue by a smaller share in Washington, nearly 4 in 10. In Washington, roughly 1 in 4 voters said climate change was the most important issue, and the same number said income inequality was their top issue. About 1 in 5 voters cited each of those issues in Michigan. In Mississippi, about 1 in 4 voters cited income inequality as the top issue. Race relations was the third most important in Mississippi and the least likely to be the top issue in Michigan, Missouri and Washington.
Happy hour is on at the Tuesday Night Hangout Club! Consider this an open thread. Polls close at 8PM in MI.
This drink is called The Hummer and was invented in Detroit.